Tropics Finally Quieting Down – One Week Left in Season
Shhh, I don't want to jinx anything but have you checked out what's going on in the Tropical Atlantic Basin? Yeah, that's really all there is, just that one little disturbance and as of now, forecasters aren't too concerned with its development. Could we finally have reached the light that is officially the end of the seemingly neverending tunnel that is Hurricane Season 2020?
The only blotch on a clean tropical map this morning is a broad non-tropical area of low pressure that is centered a couple of hundred miles east of the Islands of the Bahamas this morning. Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center are giving this system a 20% probability of spinning up into a tropical cyclone by Thanksgiving Day. Personally, I don't see that happening.
Should this system fizzle, it appears as if it will, then we could finally be able to close the books on this historical hurricane season. The official end of the season is next Monday and we've already gone through every name the Hurricane Center had scheduled to use for the year and then some.
The long-range speculation for the winter months suggests that La Nina, the Pacific weather phenomenon that is kind of responsible for all the tropical activity, will remain in place. This usually means a warm and dry winter for Louisiana and the rest of the Gulf South. That doesn't mean it won't ever get cold, but we shouldn't expect prolonged outbreaks of colder weather.
Let's just hope La Nina gives way to a little El Nino action by the time next June rolls around. El Nino is good for folks that don't like hurricanes. Here in Louisiana, we count ourselves among that number that doesn't care for the big storms. Especially after what they have done to us this year.
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