Forecasters with the Storm Prediction Center have modified their severe weather outlook for today. That modification seems to put the parishes of South Louisiana at a reduced risk of severe weather than originally thought earlier in the week.

The SPC outlook does suggest that most of Louisiana will be affected by showers and thunderstorms today. Some of those storms could be quite heavy but the current line of thinking suggests that most of those storms will stay below the criteria needed to be classified as a severe storm.

The National Weather Service Office in Lake Charles is forecasting a quiet morning for much of Acadiana but things will begin to go downhill quickly after the noon hour. Forecasters say the stronger storms will be moving from west to east. That means portions of the western listening area will likely be affected by heavy rains and gusty winds earlier this afternoon that the eastern sections of the area will be.

The weather maker, in this case, is a frontal boundary that is currently draped along the northern Gulf Coast. That frontal boundary is expected to drift to the north. This will allow even more moisture from the Gulf of Mexico to move over the area.

Moisture will interact with an approaching cold front moving in from Texas later this afternoon. This is where the best chance of strong storms and heavy weather is likely to occur. Namely close to and along the frontal boundary.

Look for scattered showers and sprinkles to begin racing across the area later this morning. Some of the heavier showers and thunderstorms should make their appearance during the middle of the afternoon. The actual cold front should pass through the area sometime early this evening.

Behind the front temperatures will begin to fall quickly. In fact, temperatures could be 15 to 20 degrees colder on Thursday and Friday than they are forecast to be for today. Unfortunately, South Louisiana will only get one day to enjoy the nice weather on Friday. A threat of showers and thunderstorms is forecast to move back into the area by Saturday morning.

 

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