Ask any parent what's the most disconcerting "sound" they can hear when their kids aren't where they can see them. They will most likely answer by saying that disturbing sound is silence. Tropical forecasters must be feeling the same way. Since Hurricane Barry, the tropical Atlantic Basin has been very quiet. Almost too quiet, and that is making more than a few tropical weather guessers anxious.

The peak of the Atlantic Tropical season is a little less than a month away. Statistically, September 10th is noted as the official peak but the days leading up to that peak and the days following that peak are traditionally some of the most active when it comes to tropical storm systems. Fortunately, that has not been the case in the 2019 Hurricane season. 

How quiet is it?

Well over the past 20 years the days between July 15 and August 15 have almost always seen the formation of named tropical systems. The only exceptions to that observation have been in 1999, 2015, and now in 2019. When you consider that almost all of the more reliable tropical forecasters are calling for an above-average hurricane season that must mean the second half of the season is going to be rocking.

The National Hurricane Center forecast is calling for no tropical development over the next five days. Which is good news for the near term. In fact, the forecast for the next few days across Acadiana is calling for a typical summertime set up with only a chance of a popup shower or thunderstorm.

At least one really long-range forecast service is calling for what they describe as a "hurricane threat" in the Gulf of Mexico by the time Labor Day Weekend arrives. But don't let that worry you, we see nothing on the immediate horizon and will continue to monitor the tropics every day until the season comes to an end November 30th.


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